Market Trends 2012
Market Trends 2012 Our newest reports examine commercial real estate activity across local markets in 2011 and present our forecast for 2012. You’ll find Market Trends alongside our National Commercial Real Estate Forecast, which offers a comprehensive view of major property sectors and explores trends in important niche real estate segments.

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Inflation, Year over Year
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
January 23, 2012
Inflation remains subdued despite an uptick in recent economic indicators such as the labor market, industrial production and even residential construction. The consumer price index was flat in December for a second consecutive month while core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose just 0.1 percent. On a year-over-year basis (see chart), the CPI rose 3.0 percent from December 2010 while core inflation was 2.2 percent, right around the Federal Reserve’s informal comfort range of 2 percent. Even with the improving economy, long-term inflation expectations are low according to the Cleveland Federal Reserve, which says that the public expects inflation to average just 1.39 percent annually over the next 10 years. Low levels of inflation and expected inflation during a period when the economy is improving will provide cover for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates low and monetary conditions accommodative at least through next year. For commercial real estate, sustained low interest rates should provide some room for capitalization rates to move lower over the next year.
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Grubb & Ellis
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